Superhiro wrote:I'm not buying the arguements that Cersei is dieing.
She might not die now (lasting through the end of the books is another matter entirely). That said, Frankengregor making his debut is a complicated matter. Getting around the law isn't necessarily the end of the world. Too bad for her, she's left Tommen with a bunch of inept people, so it may not be possible to make that happen. However, there's something I'm not sure you are considering (I'll come to that in a second).
If she asked for FG as her champion, she could easily get refused by the CHS (basis is law; truth be told I was surprised to hear that the Kingsguard *have* to represent the royal family. I would have believed you still had a regular list of options available, so there may well be pending developments on that front); it's unclear how he'll handle things like this at this time, but this seems a reasonable possibility. I'm not sure he'll take well to the presence of FG though. So that may not be an option at all (champion terminated due to abomination probably doesn't happen alot in trials by combat, but there's a first time for everything!).
It isn't like Tommen has no cards to play either, so getting her back some other way is not out of the question. However if she is formerly accused of one of the Big No-Nos(tm), it means there's got to be one of two things: trial (which she likely loses - again see below) or escape. In any case, I'll restate that Tommen is surrounded by incompetents, and people who hate Cersei. If the Tyrells feel like they have a use for her, they will likely make every effort tosee that she wins her trial. If not. . .well they can sure appear to make a great effort and appear to make a great effort and then console Tommen.
Escape requires the right help. I'm not sure if ti will be available or not.
The really interesting question here is what CHS knows. If he knows about Jamie. . .Cersei is probably utterly screwed since that's a sin in every religion in Westeros, though he still has to be careful with the accusation (he's not immune to politics). And I find it unlikely he can *know*, so we're back to a potential accusation.
Her'es the thing (to wander back into what I hinted at above). In the books, there have been a handful of of Trials by Combat.
Every one has had the "correct" outcome.
1) Bronn - representing an accused Tyrion - beats the Arryn champion. Tyrion is free to go - and he *wasn't* involved in the attempt on Jon's life.
2) The Hound -representing an accused Hound - beats the fifth Dondarain. Free to go - and he wasn't guilty of what they charged him with there.
3) Oberyn Martel - representing an accused Tyrion (nasty luck, that) - loses to The Mountain the Rides. Tyrion, in the case, appears to be guilty as sin, by his own admission.
That's 3 cases from the actual series ( I will ignore the Hedge Knight books because I don't want to spoil anything for anyone, but the evidence isn't going to hurt me).
There are legitimate reasons why those outcomes came to be. Bronn is an accompished warrior, and cunning. The Hound is very much an accomplished warrior, and while so is Dondarrion he draws on something on the verge of defeat (few people truly fear something the way he fears fire). The Mountain is freaking 8 feet tall and built like an Oak Tree. One slip up there is sure to mean doom - and Oberyn slipped up by getting cocky at the end.
But IMO it is no mere coincidence or matter of prowess/experience/luck winning out either. The *right* outcome occured in each case (the side story to #3 - that of the Elia stuff - also makes for an interesting side discussion but I've never been able to fully settle into a position of it).
I have a hard time believing that the *right* outcome wouldn't take place here. *If* the accusation is incest, Cersei is guilty as shit. And I'm guessing. . . dead as fried chicken. I'm not sayin every trial by combat works out like that in the hiustory of Westeros. But I'll wager the big ones do. And this happens to be a time when the Gods appear to be taking a greater hand in mortal affairs.
Now, the accusation might not be that, unless I'm misremembering that it is garunteed to be (my kingdom for AFFC, I'd like to glance back over a couple of chapters but can't right now; alas I am stuck at work).