gameoverman wrote: ↑
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:21 pm
The NFL had games even when they couldn't play with 'real' players or 'real' officials so I don't think they'll cancel the season. They'll want to leave the playoffs and Super Bowl schedule as is, so my bet is the season starts later than previously planned, possibly with no preseason or a drastically shortened one.
Didn't want to clutter up the NFL thread.
I agree that is what they want. We all want that. I don't think that is what they are going to get.
Just to play out how that would work - I haven't seen anybody suggesting we are going to be at the herd immunity stage of this thing by September (unless we pull down all the restrictions and just let the infection run it's course). So without that, we aren't going to be letting 80k people gather in a group. So if there are games, they would be in empty stadiums.
But to even get to games, you have to have training camps and practices - which again involve large groups of people that you're going to have to be comfortable with gathering. Additionally, you're going to have some very highly paid people having to be comfortable with whatever risk they are taking for both their current year and future earnings (agents aren't going to want to risk their players). Do you really think we'll be there by September?
Even if all that gets worked out, what happens if a player tests positive in training camp? Does the whole team go in quarantine for two weeks? Would an owner sign off on his team competing with that kind of disadvantage? Worse, what happens if a players test positive during the season? Does the team they are playing against go into quarantine as well as the other teams they've played for the last 14 days? And then all the teams they've played against? The league would grind to a halt.
It's the same reason I don't see any college sports happening this fall - there's no way you won't have a positive test during the season leading to the quarantining of whole teams for weeks. And it's even worse in college where you're dealing with kids who will want to take the risks of getting the virus and playing but with universities on the hook for the liabilities. All it takes is one player ending up on a ventilator to shut the whole thing down.