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Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

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Rip
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Rip » Tue Aug 22, 2017 4:18 pm

http://www.breitbart.com/radio/2017/08/ ... ghanistan/
Prince said he has long argued for the president to “appoint a viceroy,” by which he means not a ruler for Afghanistan, but a strong central figure to coordinate the implementation of U.S. policy.

“Today we have this multi-headed monster. You have the State Department, you have McMaster, you have the Pentagon with all their generals, and you have CIA station chiefs and all that infrastructure, not just in Afghanistan but in Pakistan as well,” he pointed out.

“The president needs, and he really missed an opportunity, to appoint one person that is in charge of all efforts, spending, organizational, and policy of the U.S. government for Afghanistan and Pakistan. You’ve got to do that to actually try to bring this thing to a close as well,” he urged. “Each of those governments, Afghanistan and Pakistan, have both been very effective at playing one part of the U.S. government against another, and to continue to suck money and resources out of the U.S. taxpayer.”

When Marlow gave Prince credit for keeping the size of the new troop deployment down, Prince said he knows National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster “originally asked for an additional 70,000 to 80,000 troops.”

“If past performance is an indicator of future performance, 16 years, I don’t see the Pentagon tacking sharply to turn this thing around. This is a management of conflict, not a termination of conflict. That’s the problem. We need to find a way to deliver a cheap, sustainable way to keep the Afghan upright and able to fight these battles, so that U.S. forces who have a very high cost in blood and treasure, so they don’t have to do that,” said Prince.
:coffee:

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Alefroth » Tue Aug 22, 2017 4:33 pm

Rip wrote:
hepcat wrote:I would like to get the opinions of both Earth 616 Rip and Bizarro Rip before I draw any conclusions.
Future Rip says it didn't work and is unlikely to work out that well for DJT.

Still a half measure at best and this isn't the kind of fight you can win with half measures.
What does a full measure look like in this fight?

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by LordMortis » Tue Aug 22, 2017 4:44 pm

Rip wrote:http://www.breitbart.com/radio/2017/08/ ... ghanistan/
Prince said he has long argued for the president to “appoint a viceroy,” by which he means not a ruler for Afghanistan, but a strong central figure to coordinate the implementation of U.S. policy.

“Today we have this multi-headed monster. You have the State Department, you have McMaster, you have the Pentagon with all their generals, and you have CIA station chiefs and all that infrastructure, not just in Afghanistan but in Pakistan as well,” he pointed out.

“The president needs, and he really missed an opportunity, to appoint one person that is in charge of all efforts, spending, organizational, and policy of the U.S. government for Afghanistan and Pakistan. You’ve got to do that to actually try to bring this thing to a close as well,” he urged. “Each of those governments, Afghanistan and Pakistan, have both been very effective at playing one part of the U.S. government against another, and to continue to suck money and resources out of the U.S. taxpayer.”

When Marlow gave Prince credit for keeping the size of the new troop deployment down, Prince said he knows National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster “originally asked for an additional 70,000 to 80,000 troops.”

“If past performance is an indicator of future performance, 16 years, I don’t see the Pentagon tacking sharply to turn this thing around. This is a management of conflict, not a termination of conflict. That’s the problem. We need to find a way to deliver a cheap, sustainable way to keep the Afghan upright and able to fight these battles, so that U.S. forces who have a very high cost in blood and treasure, so they don’t have to do that,” said Prince.
:coffee:
And this is why I am "thankful" for MotS. You know Prince has Trump's ear as well as an ear in every secret military meeting taking place.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Rip » Tue Aug 22, 2017 4:59 pm

Alefroth wrote:
Rip wrote:
hepcat wrote:I would like to get the opinions of both Earth 616 Rip and Bizarro Rip before I draw any conclusions.
Future Rip says it didn't work and is unlikely to work out that well for DJT.

Still a half measure at best and this isn't the kind of fight you can win with half measures.
What does a full measure look like in this fight?
McMaster's plane/ask would be a full measure. But even that isn't a guarantee of success but anything less is doomed. McMaster thinks the Afghans can still be "westernized". I have my doubts, but if you are going to stay then the full effort is needed.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Alefroth » Tue Aug 22, 2017 5:44 pm

Rip wrote:
Alefroth wrote:
Rip wrote:
hepcat wrote:I would like to get the opinions of both Earth 616 Rip and Bizarro Rip before I draw any conclusions.
Future Rip says it didn't work and is unlikely to work out that well for DJT.

Still a half measure at best and this isn't the kind of fight you can win with half measures.
What does a full measure look like in this fight?
McMaster's plane/ask would be a full measure. But even that isn't a guarantee of success but anything less is doomed. McMaster thinks the Afghans can still be "westernized". I have my doubts, but if you are going to stay then the full effort is needed.
That's what I'm asking. What is the full effort? Is it just more troops? What do they do that we haven't been doing? Take out infrastructure? Raze cities? Shock and awe?

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Rip » Tue Aug 22, 2017 6:05 pm

Alefroth wrote:
Rip wrote:
Alefroth wrote:
Rip wrote:
hepcat wrote:I would like to get the opinions of both Earth 616 Rip and Bizarro Rip before I draw any conclusions.
Future Rip says it didn't work and is unlikely to work out that well for DJT.

Still a half measure at best and this isn't the kind of fight you can win with half measures.
What does a full measure look like in this fight?
McMaster's plane/ask would be a full measure. But even that isn't a guarantee of success but anything less is doomed. McMaster thinks the Afghans can still be "westernized". I have my doubts, but if you are going to stay then the full effort is needed.
That's what I'm asking. What is the full effort? Is it just more troops? What do they do that we haven't been doing? Take out infrastructure? Raze cities? Shock and awe?
See Go Big Strategy here. What is happening now appears to be a slight buffing of the Go Deep Strategy.

Written in 2009 but still very on point today.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by hepcat » Wed Aug 23, 2017 7:30 am

Is it just me, or does Rip seem to only quote Breitbart these days?
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Holman » Thu Aug 24, 2017 9:37 pm

link
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Isgrimnur » Sat Jan 27, 2018 3:21 pm

AP News
Afghan Public Health Ministry says death toll in suicide car bomb attack in Kabul has risen to 95, with 158 wounded in the deadliest insurgent attack in the country so far this year.

Wahid Majroh, a spokesman for the public health ministry, said that the toll might still rise, because reports from the hospital show many of the wounded appear to be in critical condition.

Zabihullah Mujahid, a Taliban spokesman, claimed responsibility for the attack, which sent thick, dark smoke into the sky from the site of the explosion near the government’s former Interior Ministry building.
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Jaymann » Sat Jan 27, 2018 5:20 pm

Can anyone else remember when Russia was fighting the forever war in Afghanistan? What the hell happened?
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Kraken » Sat Jan 27, 2018 5:44 pm

"...so far this year." It's still January.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Holman » Sat Jan 27, 2018 8:10 pm

Jaymann wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2018 5:20 pm
Can anyone else remember when Russia was fighting the forever war in Afghanistan? What the hell happened?
Afghanistan, Graveyard of Empires.

The linked article is from 2001.
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by hitbyambulance » Sat Jan 27, 2018 9:35 pm

Holman wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2018 8:10 pm
Jaymann wrote:
Sat Jan 27, 2018 5:20 pm
Can anyone else remember when Russia was fighting the forever war in Afghanistan? What the hell happened?
Afghanistan, Graveyard of Empires.

The linked article is from 2001.
essentially paywalled:
Register to read one free article a month.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Isgrimnur » Tue Jan 30, 2018 10:51 pm

Hey, how are things over there?
Taliban fighters, whom US-led forces spent billions of dollars trying to defeat, are now openly active in 70% of Afghanistan, a BBC study has found.

Months of research across the country show how areas the Taliban threaten or control have surged since foreign combat troops left in 2014.

The Afghan government played down the report, saying it controls most areas.

But recent attacks claimed by Taliban and Islamic State militants have killed scores in Kabul and elsewhere.
...
Image
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by El Guapo » Tue Jan 30, 2018 11:34 pm

Isgrimnur wrote:
Tue Jan 30, 2018 10:51 pm
Hey, how are things over there?
Taliban fighters, whom US-led forces spent billions of dollars trying to defeat, are now openly active in 70% of Afghanistan, a BBC study has found.

Months of research across the country show how areas the Taliban threaten or control have surged since foreign combat troops left in 2014.

The Afghan government played down the report, saying it controls most areas.

But recent attacks claimed by Taliban and Islamic State militants have killed scores in Kabul and elsewhere.
...
Image
It's funny, I actually came away from that chart being more reassured than worried. Most of the country is in areas with full government control or "low" Taliban presence. Since three of the four cities highlighted are in "full government" territory, and the fourth is in "low" Taliban presence (Jalalabad, though the map isn't totally clear on that) would suggest that most people live in such areas.

I mean, it's certainly not *great* to have an active insurgency in your countryside, and there's the potential for things to get much worse, but seeing as how this is Afghanistan... not as bad as I thought.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Isgrimnur » Sun Jul 08, 2018 4:00 pm

Stars and Stripes
U.S. and Afghan special operations troops in one of their largest joint operations captured a stronghold that Islamic State fighters claimed as their local capital, military officials said Saturday.

No Americans or Afghan troops were killed in the offensive, which the U.S. military said killed 167 fighters from the Islamic State group – also known as ISIS or Daesh – and involved a complex multipronged attack on Gurgoray, a town purported to be the group’s capital in Deh Bala district in Nangarhar province.
...
The U.S. and Afghan offensive involved five Special Forces teams and three Afghan commando companies. In total, 600 members of the U.S. Army Special Forces, also known as Green Berets, participated in the mission, which began in April and continued into June, a U.S. military officer said.
...
Nangarhar province is one of the few places Americans continue to fight alongside Afghan forces in battle, and it has also been the deadliest spot for U.S. servicemembers, with a third of American combat deaths occurring there last year.
...
The district’s center lies 21 miles south of Jalalabad, the provincial capital where ISIS claimed recent deadly suicide attacks, and 11 miles west of Aachin, where the U.S. military in April 2017 dropped the largest bomb in its arsenal, “the mother of all bombs,” on an ISIS cave network.

Due to its location on the border with Pakistan, Deh Bala served as a key supply route for ISIS.
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by GreenGoo » Sun Jul 08, 2018 7:58 pm

Good job.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Kraken » Mon Sep 10, 2018 11:07 am

Time to start paying attention to Afghanistan again? Cuz it's starting to look like "Lose."

How the US Govt Misleads the People On Afghanistan

More than 2,200 Americans have been killed in the Afghan conflict, and the United States has spent more than $840 billion fighting the Taliban insurgency and paying for relief and reconstruction. The war has become more expensive, in current dollars, than the Marshall Plan, which helped to rebuild Europe after World War II. That investment has created intense pressure for Americans to show the Taliban are losing and the country is improving.

But since 2017, the Taliban have held more Afghan territory than at any time since the American invasion. In just one week last month, the insurgents killed 200 Afghan police officers and soldiers, overrunning two major Afghan bases and the city of Ghazni.

The American military says the Afghan government effectively “controls or influences” 56 percent of the country. But that assessment relies on statistical sleight of hand. In many districts, the Afghan government controls only the district headquarters and military barracks, while the Taliban control the rest.
Today: Scores killed in wave of violence in Afghanistan
BAGHLAN-E-MARKAZI, Afghanistan — In a chaotic day of violence throughout Afghanistan, scores of police officers, soldiers, and civilians were killed by insurgents who, in four separate attacks, overran a major military base, killed a police chief, destroyed a police post, and bombed a memorial event.
The little war that wouldn't go away still won't go away.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Kraken » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:57 am

The hits keep on coming
MAZAR-I-SHARIF, Afghanistan — Taliban insurgents killed at least 57 Afghan police officers and soldiers in four attacks in northern Afghanistan on Monday, a day after more than 60 people were killed in a separate barrage, Afghan officials said.
Insurgencies supposedly can't be won on the battlefield, but dayum. The Taliban are determined to make Washington pay attention...after the midterms, maybe.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Zarathud » Tue Sep 11, 2018 11:19 am

Trump's failure in Afghanistan shows the incompetence of his administration. He criticized Bush for its mistake but can't be bothered to solve it. Even though it would give him the perfect opportunity to criticize Bush and Obama.
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Max Peck » Tue Sep 11, 2018 11:40 am

Saying that Trump "can't be bothered" to solve Afghanistan implies that he's capable of solving it if he only made the effort. I'm not certain that a desirable solution is what would result if he gave it his full attention.
President Trump dressed down Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and top military leaders last summer about the stalemate in Afghanistan and told them “you don’t need a strategy to kill people,” according to Bob Woodward’s new book.

The president also criticized the former U.S. commander in Afghanistan, Gen. John Nicholson, and questioned whether he was a “winner” during the July 20, 2017 classified meeting in the Pentagon’s secure briefing room called the Tank.

“When are we going to start winning some wars? We've got these charts. When are we going to win some wars? Why are you jamming this down my throat?” Trump reportedly said. “You should be killing guys. You don't need a strategy to kill people.”
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Kraken » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:23 pm

At some point we need to talk peace with the Taliban. They have signaled willingness to talk with the US directly, but not with the puppet government. Between their battlefield momentum and our master-negotiator president, they could win a very favorable power sharing arrangement. For his part, Trump could declare victory and bring home the troops.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Max Peck » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:35 pm

Trump being Trump, if he actually does something other than maintaining the status quo then I'm betting he doubles down on pursuing a bigly body count rather than declaring victory and pulling out.
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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Kraken » Tue Sep 11, 2018 2:52 pm

I think it's safe to say the American public doesn't give a shit about Afghanistan anymore. As long as the US body count stays low, perpetual war is a fine status quo.

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Re: Win, Lose, or Draw in Afghanistan?

Post by Max Peck » Thu Oct 18, 2018 2:05 pm

US commander survives Afghan gun attack in which police chief dies
A senior US commander has narrowly escaped a gun attack in which top Afghan security officials were killed.

The gunman, reported to be acting as a bodyguard, opened fire as officials left a meeting in Kandahar province.

Provincial police chief Gen Abdul Raziq died, as did the head of the NDS intelligence service. The Kandahar governor was critically injured.

US commander Gen Scott Miller escaped unhurt but three other US citizens were also severely injured, Nato said.

Unconfirmed reports from local officials suggest that Gen Miller appeared to have been saved by his body armour.

Initial reports say the attacker was killed.

At least two hand grenade explosions were also reported by officials.

The Taliban said they carried out the attack - one of the most devastating targeted attacks since the war in Afghanistan began in 2001 - and that Gen Miller and Gen Raziq were the targets. In a statement, the group referred to Gen Raziq as a "brutal police chief".
There are worlds out there where the sky is burning, where the sea's asleep and the rivers dream, people made of smoke and cities made of song. Somewhere there's danger, somewhere there's injustice and somewhere else the tea is getting cold. Come on, Ace, we've got work to do.
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