The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
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- Zaxxon
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Ugh; another Pence.
- pr0ner
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Uhh. Why wouldn't we be?
Reading some of the responses to Fox News's tweet calling the race for Kaine was alternatively funny and WTF worthy.
Hodor.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
"They", whoever that is, are calling Pritzker in Illinois (over Rauner).
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MYT
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Now that I’m in for the night I think I’ll be pouring myself a glass of some top quality Mezcal to nurse through the evening.
(Depending on how it goes it could go to 2 glasses...)
Black lives matter!
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- Holman
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Folks naming names: please include (R) or (D) or whatever.
We don't have the bandwidth to know every candidate.
We don't have the bandwidth to know every candidate.
Much prefer my Nazis Nuremberged.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Pritzker (D), $170M.spent, net worth: $3B.LawBeefaroni wrote: ↑Tue Nov 06, 2018 9:32 pm "They", whoever that is, are calling Pritzker in Illinois (over Rauner).
Rauner (R), $70M spent, net worth: a few hundred million.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Getting 2016 chills over here.
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- Smoove_B
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
NJ media is already calling the race for human garbage person Menendez (D), maintaining his Senate seat against larger garbage person Hugin (R).
Maybe next year, maybe no go
- Blackhawk
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
One.
Of the people I voted for, it looks like one (local sheriff) will win.
One. I feel so represented.
Of the people I voted for, it looks like one (local sheriff) will win.
One. I feel so represented.
(˙pǝsɹǝʌǝɹ uǝǝq sɐɥ ʎʇıʌɐɹƃ ʃɐuosɹǝd ʎW)
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
We live in a country full of garbage people.Enough wrote:Getting 2016 chills over here.
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And in banks across the world
Christians, Moslems, Hindus, Jews
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Get down on their knees and pray
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Make up bags of change
But the monkey in the corner
Well he's slowly drifting out of range
Christians, Moslems, Hindus, Jews
And every other race, creed, colour, tint or hue
Get down on their knees and pray
The raccoon and the groundhog neatly
Make up bags of change
But the monkey in the corner
Well he's slowly drifting out of range
- Holman
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Total PTSD here. Puking in my throat a little.
Much prefer my Nazis Nuremberged.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Yeah. Definitely don't have any warm fuzzies.
OR
cry in a corner that the world has come to a point where you have to pay for imaginary shit.
-Hiccup
cry in a corner that the world has come to a point where you have to pay for imaginary shit.
-Hiccup
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Out of 27 Florida House race, one seat flipped from Republican to Dem, one seat too close to call, the rest maintain status quo.
IN Senate: called for Braun(R). There goes another incumbent Democrat.
TN Senate: called for Blackburn(R). Extra disappointing, considering that Bredesen was looking really strong in the polls, and Blackburn is a piece of garbage.
IN Senate: called for Braun(R). There goes another incumbent Democrat.
TN Senate: called for Blackburn(R). Extra disappointing, considering that Bredesen was looking really strong in the polls, and Blackburn is a piece of garbage.
- Carpet_pissr
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The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Same here. God, this sucks. Look forward to seeing more harping on xenophobia in future elections. That’s what this means, in part. The caravan message worked and will be used heavily in the future.
- LawBeefaroni
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
At least you had a choice and he/she won. Cook County Sheriff went unopposed. Again.
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"No scientific discovery is named after its original discoverer." -Stigler's Law of Eponymy, discovered by Robert K. Merton
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- Zaxxon
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
538 now has house flip to D at 55%, down from 90+ an hour ago. More beer, please.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Nate just dropped their forecast of Dems take the House to 66% on the fly.
Edit: Correction 55% now. This is a looking like a bad day for decency. Again.
Edit: Again - I see it is a real time forecast versus his previous model. Deleting my bitch-y comment.
Edit: Correction 55% now. This is a looking like a bad day for decency. Again.
Edit: Again - I see it is a real time forecast versus his previous model. Deleting my bitch-y comment.
- Carpet_pissr
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Why is 538 considered so great, again? (Serious question)malchior wrote:Nate just dropped their forecast of Dems take the House to 66% on the fly. As a data science guy - that is pretty garbage-y. Stick by your model. If it is wrong, it is wrong.
Edit: Correction 55% now. This is a looking like a bad day for decency. Again.
They sure missed 2016 as well, now this? I thought they ‘locked’ their forecasts hours ago.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Deja fucking vu.
Who could have guessed? Not like we’ve ever seen anything like this before.
Who could have guessed? Not like we’ve ever seen anything like this before.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
They are only as good as the polls.Carpet_pissr wrote: ↑Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:38 pmWhy is 538 considered so great, again? (Serious question)malchior wrote:Nate just dropped their forecast of Dems take the House to 66% on the fly. As a data science guy - that is pretty garbage-y. Stick by your model. If it is wrong, it is wrong.
Edit: Correction 55% now. This is a looking like a bad day for decency. Again.
They sure missed 2016 as well, now this? I thought they ‘locked’ their forecasts hours ago.
Black Lives Matter
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"To wield Grond, the mighty hammer of the Federal Government, is to be intoxicated with power beyond what you and I can reckon (though I figure we can ball park it pretty good with computers and maths). Need to tunnel through a mountain? Grond. Kill a mighty ogre? Grond. Hangnail? Grond. Spider? Grond (actually, that's a legit use, moreso than the rest)." - Peacedog
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
OTOH, Fox is projecting the House, in aggregate, for the Dems. I have no idea what to think...
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
There will be a lot of questions about his models going forward. There is a obviously a chance for losses built in but 2 times in a row with high percentage predictions are very big misses. Honestly though it could be mean statistical modeling is broken vis a vis our polling and there are secret Trumpists. Or lots of reasons.Carpet_pissr wrote: ↑Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:38 pmWhy is 538 considered so great, again? (Serious question)malchior wrote:Nate just dropped their forecast of Dems take the House to 66% on the fly. As a data science guy - that is pretty garbage-y. Stick by your model. If it is wrong, it is wrong.
Edit: Correction 55% now. This is a looking like a bad day for decency. Again.
They sure missed 2016 as well, now this? I thought they ‘locked’ their forecasts hours ago.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Everything I’m watching has the dems taking the house and losing ground in the Senate. That’s pretty much what was expected no? I had no grand delusions that they would take the Senate.
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- Combustible Lemur
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
They're losing Florida. But Beto is looking pretty fucking good. He running up numbers in Houston Austin and Dallas and is suspected to really run up numbers in El paso. Which closes an hour later than the rest of the state.Octavious wrote:Everything I’m watching has the dems taking the house and losing ground in the Senate. That’s pretty much what was expected no? I had no grand delusions that they would take the Senate.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Bredesen was looking strong until Kavanaugh. I suspect that fight may have cost the Dems some, especially in the Senate.gilraen wrote: ↑Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:03 pm Out of 27 Florida House race, one seat flipped from Republican to Dem, one seat too close to call, the rest maintain status quo.
IN Senate: called for Braun(R). There goes another incumbent Democrat.
TN Senate: called for Blackburn(R). Extra disappointing, considering that Bredesen was looking really strong in the polls, and Blackburn is a piece of garbage.
Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions. – G.K. Chesterton
- LordMortis
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Things aren't looking good for MI D Senator Stabenow. If these were pre-2008 times, I'd be happy to see her go.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
If the Dems take the house and Cruz is out I consider that a victory. Fingers crossed.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Feel good story from NJ -- Mikie Sherrill wins House seat for Democrats, beats Jay Webber
I'd like to give a special F.U. to Rodney Frelinghuysen. I hope you have chronic diarrhea the rest of your shitty life.The race between Sherrill, a former Navy pilot and ex-federal prosecutor, and Webber, a state assemblyman, came as Democrats across the nation were trying to regain control of the House from the GOP in midterm elections considered a referendum on Republican President Donald Trump.
Sherrill, 46, who had never run for office before, will succeed retiring Republican Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen, who has held the seat since 1995. The district had been a Republican stronghold for decades.
...
The 11th District is home to 557,552 registered voters, the highest total of N.J.'s 12 congressional districts.
Of those, there are 172,246 Republicans, 166,087 Democrats and 216,207 unaffiliated voters, according to the New Jersey Secretary of State.
Last edited by Smoove_B on Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Maybe next year, maybe no go
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
I keep seeing Dems taking house and losing Senate. As was projected. I dont like the numbers that I am seeing out of FL, that's too damn close. I really dont like how close this election is overall. Means Trump's message resonated as someone noted earlier. Means more intense partisanship. I hope, I hope the dems can do some damage in the state legislative races and Governors. If they whoop ass there, then I'll be cool with losing the senate. Really amazed at how close it is overall.
Bayraktar!!!!
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Trump and the GOP; putting the banana in our Republic.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Other thing too, I am betting the D's pick up all of the CA seats.
Bayraktar!!!!
Trump and the GOP; putting the banana in our Republic.
Trump and the GOP; putting the banana in our Republic.
- Combustible Lemur
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Msnbc projecting 95% dems take house. I like Steve kernake their numbers guy.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
I'm pulling for him, but Beto isn't looking good.
Still, he ran a hell of a race in a solid red state.
Still, he ran a hell of a race in a solid red state.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Strange, I just checked and they had Dems at 90%.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
ABC just called it for Cruz. But way closer than was expected.Little Raven wrote: ↑Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:11 pm I'm pulling for him, but Beto isn't looking good.
Still, he ran a hell of a race in a solid red state.
Black Lives Matter
"To wield Grond, the mighty hammer of the Federal Government, is to be intoxicated with power beyond what you and I can reckon (though I figure we can ball park it pretty good with computers and maths). Need to tunnel through a mountain? Grond. Kill a mighty ogre? Grond. Hangnail? Grond. Spider? Grond (actually, that's a legit use, moreso than the rest)." - Peacedog
"To wield Grond, the mighty hammer of the Federal Government, is to be intoxicated with power beyond what you and I can reckon (though I figure we can ball park it pretty good with computers and maths). Need to tunnel through a mountain? Grond. Kill a mighty ogre? Grond. Hangnail? Grond. Spider? Grond (actually, that's a legit use, moreso than the rest)." - Peacedog
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
We’d rather share the time zone with the Florida panhandle than El Paso.Combustible Lemur wrote:They're losing Florida. But Beto is looking pretty fucking good. He running up numbers in Houston Austin and Dallas and is suspected to really run up numbers in El paso. Which closes an hour later than the rest of the state.Octavious wrote:Everything I’m watching has the dems taking the house and losing ground in the Senate. That’s pretty much what was expected no? I had no grand delusions that they would take the Senate.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Cruz losing would have been cool. Oh well.
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Beto May have blown it. There were Republicans wanting an excuse not to vote for Cruz.Little Raven wrote: ↑Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:11 pm I'm pulling for him, but Beto isn't looking good.
Still, he ran a hell of a race in a solid red state.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story ... ion-222188
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- Carpet_pissr
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The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
So many close races. I thought I saw one network saying Claire McCaskill was out, but now I see only 37% in. WTH
Also, it’s funny switching between networks, some saying with absolute authority “NO BLUE WAVE” and others “This is the blue wave that was predicted”. LOL
Also, it’s funny switching between networks, some saying with absolute authority “NO BLUE WAVE” and others “This is the blue wave that was predicted”. LOL
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Re: The MidTerm Elections thread (2018)
Not really the blue wave we were hoping for but Dems are officially called to take control of the House now.