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Flash poll: Mayday edition

For discussion of religion and politics

Moderators: LawBeefaroni, $iljanus

It's primary day! These candidates are on your ballot

Biden
15
22%
Sanders
2
3%
Warren
23
34%
Buttigieg
16
24%
O’Rourke
2
3%
Harris
7
10%
Trump
2
3%
Weld
1
1%
 
Total votes: 68

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Kraken
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Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Kraken » Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:04 pm

Thought it might be fun to run one of these every few months based on the evolving field. Independents can take either a D or an R ballot. Partisans can't cross over.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by pr0ner » Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:11 pm

Need more data on climate change policies before making a decision.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by ImLawBoy » Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:26 pm

The point of something like this is to declare who you'd vote for now, knowing that you likely have an incomplete picture of all the candidates. By the next time Kraken runs one of these you may have changed your mind based on learning more about climate change policies.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by pr0ner » Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:33 pm

ImLawBoy wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:26 pm
The point of something like this is to declare who you'd vote for now, knowing that you likely have an incomplete picture of all the candidates. By the next time Kraken runs one of these you may have changed your mind based on learning more about climate change policies.
Fair point.

I'll think about this a bit more and come back with an actual vote.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by El Guapo » Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:38 pm

Quite the Warren surge here. Warrenmentum?

Anyway, I also voted for Warren. She and Biden are probably my top 2 at the moment (though that could easily change).

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by malchior » Tue Apr 30, 2019 2:18 pm

Buttigieg here - I am done with boomers. Of course until it is some boomer vs. Trump then yes it'll be a boomer but I'm holding out very slim hope against this possibility.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by $iljanus » Tue Apr 30, 2019 2:27 pm

Early days but after some town halls I really respect Warren and think she’ll make a fine president. Sanders is just bugging me more and more. Warren is a politician who I think can govern.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by ImLawBoy » Tue Apr 30, 2019 2:40 pm

I think Beto and Buttigieg need more experience. It think Biden and Bernie have too much experience (plus Bernie is, was, and always will be unelectable). That leaves me with Warren or Harris from this pool, as I'm not voting R (obviously it would be Weld if I were).

Warren is up there in years a bit, but not to the level of Biden and Bernie so it's not disqualifying. She has also really developed a lot of strong policy positions, and even if I don't agree with all of them, it shows a strong level of preparedness.

I have some concerns about Harris's record as a prosecutor, although I admit I haven't fully looked into them yet. She did a great job in recent congressional hearings with her questioning, but that's to be expected from a former prosecutor.

I'm hardly super enthusiastic about it, but I grudgingly voted Warren.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Jaymann » Tue Apr 30, 2019 3:11 pm

I am also sick of boomers. So I went with Harris since it is too soon for AOC.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Smoove_B » Tue Apr 30, 2019 3:25 pm

I like Kamala Harris, mainly because of how she presented herself during the hearings; I like her demeanor and she comes off as being whip-smart. I've caught a few of her interviews and she doesn't sound/act like an old-stuff politician. She seemed warm and affable to me. I see Biden, Bernie and Warren as part of the old-guard. I'm still astounded someone in Trump's demographic was elected and I've even more astounded that others in that same demographic are being considered for 2020. Pain.

EDIT: I guess I do kinda like Warren, but I'm not sold

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Alefroth » Tue Apr 30, 2019 3:31 pm

Smoove_B wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 3:25 pm
I like Kamala Harris, mainly because of how she presented herself during the hearings; I like her demeanor and she comes off as being whip-smart. I've caught a few of her interviews and she doesn't sound/act like an old-stuff politician. She seemed warm and affable to me. I see Biden, Bernie and Warren as part of the old-guard. I'm still astounded someone in Trump's demographic was elected and I've even more astounded that others in that same demographic are being considered for 2020. Pain.

EDIT: I guess I do kinda like Warren, but I'm not sold
It was quite a toss-up for me between Warren and Harris but i went with Warren for now since I know more about her policies. Harris does get ranked as one of the most progressive Senators based on voting record though.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Defiant » Tue Apr 30, 2019 3:59 pm

Of my three top tier picks, only one is on the list, so it's an easy choice.
Last edited by Defiant on Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Kraken » Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:01 pm

El Guapo wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:38 pm
Quite the Warren surge here. Warrenmentum?

Anyway, I also voted for Warren. She and Biden are probably my top 2 at the moment (though that could easily change).
I've been on Team Warren since the start, so I'm tickled to see her doing well with the rest of this room. Biden is also my #2 -- not because I like his positions, or even his record, but because he might be the strongest vs Trump. Warren tears into Trrump at every opportunity, but it's Biden who really gets under his thin, orange skin.

It will be interesting to watch conventional wisdom change over time. I'm thinking the next flash poll should be around July 4th unless something seismic happens before then.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by $iljanus » Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:02 pm

Alefroth wrote:
Smoove_B wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 3:25 pm
I like Kamala Harris, mainly because of how she presented herself during the hearings; I like her demeanor and she comes off as being whip-smart. I've caught a few of her interviews and she doesn't sound/act like an old-stuff politician. She seemed warm and affable to me. I see Biden, Bernie and Warren as part of the old-guard. I'm still astounded someone in Trump's demographic was elected and I've even more astounded that others in that same demographic are being considered for 2020. Pain.

EDIT: I guess I do kinda like Warren, but I'm not sold
It was quite a toss-up for me between Warren and Harris but i went with Warren for now since I know more about her policies. Harris does get ranked as one of the most progressive Senators based on voting record though.
Harris would have been my next choice. I'd love to see her square off with Trump in a debate.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Defiant » Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:08 pm

Kraken wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:04 pm
Thought it might be fun to run one of these every few months based on the evolving field. Independents can take either a D or an R ballot. Partisans can't cross over.
But can we put their names in our own primary, as write-in votes?

If so, I need to start researching Weld.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Kraken » Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:22 pm

Defiant wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:08 pm
Kraken wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:04 pm
Thought it might be fun to run one of these every few months based on the evolving field. Independents can take either a D or an R ballot. Partisans can't cross over.
But can we put their names in our own primary, as write-in votes?

If so, I need to start researching Weld.
Use whatever rules your state enforces.

Bill Weld was a popular governor in his day -- a fiscally conservative, socially moderate, small-L libertarian Republican who worked well with Democrats. He approached governing more as a hobby than a crusade, which made him affable and reasonable.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by LawBeefaroni » Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:33 pm

pr0ner wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:11 pm
Need more data on climate change policies before making a decision.
You are dancing around the May poll!
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Holman » Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:58 pm

The Dem ticket is 98% certain to include a woman, and that will probably be Harris or Warren. I'm looking forward to seeing both of them establish themselves on the national stage even if they're never the front-runner.

I voted for Harris in this poll, but I'm not 100% anything yet. Like others have said, I'd love to see her debate Trump. She's tough and smart and has no illusions about D.C. today.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by LawBeefaroni » Tue Apr 30, 2019 5:10 pm

Holman wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:58 pm
Like others have said, I'd love to see her debate Trump. She's tough and smart and has no illusions about D.C. today.
A rock could debate Trump. This isn't about being better. It is merely about getting elected. Let's not forget that.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Defiant » Tue Apr 30, 2019 5:28 pm

I, for one, would love to see Buttigieg debate Pence, although I still want him in the top spot.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Defiant » Tue Apr 30, 2019 5:29 pm

LawBeefaroni wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 5:10 pm

A rock could debate Trump.
*Looks at how Republicans did in the 2016 Republican primary*. I mean, I can see the argument that they were worse than rocks, but still...

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Holman » Tue Apr 30, 2019 5:40 pm

LawBeefaroni wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 5:10 pm
Holman wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:58 pm
Like others have said, I'd love to see her debate Trump. She's tough and smart and has no illusions about D.C. today.
A rock could debate Trump. This isn't about being better. It is merely about getting elected. Let's not forget that.
I know, I know. But part of out-debating Trump is looking better than him and firing up voters to support you. I think Harris could wipe the floor with him and do it with none of HRC's baggage.

The most electable choice is obviously Biden, and I'm prepared to put my misgivings about him aside and get on board if that's where we're going.

--

Interesting point:

In recent CNN polling, climate change has moved to the *top* of potential Dem voters' concerns. It'll be interesting to see what the potential nominees make of that.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Jaymann » Tue Apr 30, 2019 6:10 pm

Oh, you mean the Chinese hoax?
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by rittchard » Tue Apr 30, 2019 7:27 pm

I am 100% Mayor Pete. If you haven't heard him speak yet I'd invite you to listen to any of his one bazillion interviews on whatever your favorite talk show is, because he's literally been on pretty much every one lol. Every time I hear him speak, although some of it is repetitive stump stuff, he impresses me more and more. So intelligent without being condescending, so sincere without coming across as being weak. And I love the irony that he can attack Trump with his midwestern, military and Christian background; Republicans are already having trouble finding ways to counter him effectively.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Kurth » Tue Apr 30, 2019 7:31 pm

For all my grousing about the need for new blood . . . I went Biden.

I'd still like Mayor Pete to convince me. But I'm not there yet.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Holman » Tue Apr 30, 2019 7:36 pm

rittchard wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 7:27 pm
I am 100% Mayor Pete. If you haven't heard him speak yet I'd invite you to listen to any of his one bazillion interviews on whatever your favorite talk show is, because he's literally been on pretty much every one lol. Every time I hear him speak, although some of it is repetitive stump stuff, he impresses me more and more. So intelligent without being condescending, so sincere without coming across as being weak. And I love the irony that he can attack Trump with his midwestern, military and Christian background; Republicans are already having trouble finding ways to counter him effectively.
I like Pete a lot, but his Midwestern all-Americanness veers WAY too much towards "why can't we all get along?" and not enough towards the fucking Red Alert we're actually facing.

If that's what we want, let's just go with Biden, who does it way better and has tons of mileage to prove it.

Biden could appoint Pete as U.N. ambassador. He wouldn't need a translator half the time. He could do President eight years from now and still be the young one in the race.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Kraken » Tue Apr 30, 2019 9:22 pm

Holman wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 5:40 pm

In recent CNN polling, climate change has moved to the *top* of potential Dem voters' concerns. It'll be interesting to see what the potential nominees make of that.
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Earth was really dying.
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Then I knew he was not lying.
They actually say we have 11 years, and we are still going in the wrong direction.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by YellowKing » Tue Apr 30, 2019 10:19 pm

I've been gravitating towards Biden after the surge in polls. Not necessarily because I like to back a winner, but because that surprise momentum currently has me believing he has the best shot at toppling Trump. I underestimated the Joe love, and he certainly has the experience that Mayor Pete and Beto lack.

I like Warren but her ship has sailed. As much as I'd like to see a woman in office, I don't know if this is the right year for it. It may turn out that the only way to fight an angry old white guy is with another angry old white guy.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by em2nought » Wed May 01, 2019 3:06 am

Fauxcahontas really? ROTFLMAO :mrgreen:
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by msteelers » Wed May 01, 2019 6:53 am

I went with Harris based on a handful of interviews I've heard, although I'm not 100% sold on any one candidate. And the only two I'm against are Biden and Sanders. Not that I don't like them, I just want new blood in there.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by naednek » Wed May 01, 2019 2:05 pm

Suprised Warren is leading the charge. I agree with some of her beliefs, but feel she's too far left.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Remus West » Wed May 01, 2019 2:09 pm

em2nought wrote:
Wed May 01, 2019 3:06 am
Fauxcahontas really? ROTFLMAO :mrgreen:
As opposed to your choices "German" ancestory?
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by TheMix » Wed May 01, 2019 2:23 pm

I'm more disappointed that he felt that he needed to bring kindergarten name calling into ... well, into OO at all. Anyone else picture em actually rolling around on the floor like a child, laughing at his "cleverness"?
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by ImLawBoy » Wed May 01, 2019 2:35 pm

TheMix wrote:
Wed May 01, 2019 2:23 pm
I'm more disappointed that he felt that he needed to bring kindergarten name calling into ... well, into OO at all. Anyone else picture em actually rolling around on the floor like a child, laughing at his "cleverness"?
To be fair, there is plenty of name calling done of Trump and the right around these parts.

That said, that contribution of his is about the level I expect from him.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by El Guapo » Wed May 01, 2019 3:47 pm

ImLawBoy wrote:
Wed May 01, 2019 2:35 pm
TheMix wrote:
Wed May 01, 2019 2:23 pm
I'm more disappointed that he felt that he needed to bring kindergarten name calling into ... well, into OO at all. Anyone else picture em actually rolling around on the floor like a child, laughing at his "cleverness"?
To be fair, there is plenty of name calling done of Trump and the right around these parts.

That said, that contribution of his is about the level I expect from him.
At first I thought that he had just heard the term Fauxcahauntas for the first time, which surprised me.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Jeff V » Wed May 01, 2019 4:48 pm

Holman wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 7:36 pm
rittchard wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 7:27 pm
I am 100% Mayor Pete. If you haven't heard him speak yet I'd invite you to listen to any of his one bazillion interviews on whatever your favorite talk show is, because he's literally been on pretty much every one lol. Every time I hear him speak, although some of it is repetitive stump stuff, he impresses me more and more. So intelligent without being condescending, so sincere without coming across as being weak. And I love the irony that he can attack Trump with his midwestern, military and Christian background; Republicans are already having trouble finding ways to counter him effectively.
I like Pete a lot, but his Midwestern all-Americanness veers WAY too much towards "why can't we all get along?" and not enough towards the fucking Red Alert we're actually facing.

If that's what we want, let's just go with Biden, who does it way better and has tons of mileage to prove it.

Biden could appoint Pete as U.N. ambassador. He wouldn't need a translator half the time. He could do President eight years from now and still be the young one in the race.
I agree, I think this is more about name recognition and getting bumped up to a more prominent position. I selected him today because of all the candidates, he seems to have the least amount of baggage and we all know how the elephants love plundering baggage. After 2016, I was firmly in Warren's camp until she created a distraction of her own making. It makes me wonder what other ill-advised comments or mistakes she might make leading into an election.

I do see a switch to Harris in the future, however, if she can show some momentum. I have no particular use for the two fossils currently at the top of the national polls.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Defiant » Wed May 01, 2019 6:02 pm

Holman wrote:
Tue Apr 30, 2019 7:36 pm

Biden could appoint Pete as U.N. ambassador. He wouldn't need a translator half the time. He could do President eight years from now and still be the young one in the race.
Given his age, I would really, *really* hope that Biden wouldn't run for a second term (though I can understand why he wouldn't want to announce that before the 2024 cycle).

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Jaymann » Wed May 01, 2019 6:12 pm

Some prosecutor experience comes in handy when questioning Barr and his ilk. I hope Harris gains some national exposure from this.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by Alefroth » Wed May 01, 2019 7:26 pm

I hope Barr gains some national exposure from it.

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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition

Post by em2nought » Wed May 01, 2019 7:27 pm

TheMix wrote:
Wed May 01, 2019 2:23 pm
I'm more disappointed that he felt that he needed to bring kindergarten name calling into ... well, into OO at all. Anyone else picture em actually rolling around on the floor like a child, laughing at his "cleverness"?
I would, but it's too hard to get back up with this large belly of mine. :mrgreen:
Waiting for the tide to bring me a sail.

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