2020 Presidential Election Predictions

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Presidential Election Outcome

Biden wins both the electoral college and the popular vote.
31
84%
Biden wins the popular vote but Trump wins the electoral college.
4
11%
Trump wins both the electoral college and the popular vote.
1
3%
Trump wins the popular vote but Biden wins the electoral college.
1
3%
 
Total votes: 37

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Defiant
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Predictions

Post by Defiant »

Here's a prediction of the number of voters:



If this prediction is correct, it would mean a turnout of about 62-67%. 62% would be about the turnout from 2008 (the highest in 50 years). 67% would mean the highest since 1900.
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Jaymann
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Predictions

Post by Jaymann »

And that's in spite of blatant GOP voter suppression.

This could be a landslide of epic proportions.
Jaymann
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Grifman
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Predictions

Post by Grifman »

Defiant wrote: Tue Oct 13, 2020 11:12 pm Here's a prediction of the number of voters:



If this prediction is correct, it would mean a turnout of about 62-67%. 62% would be about the turnout from 2008 (the highest in 50 years). 67% would mean the highest since 1900.
If that's true, Trump will lose in a landslide, if the high turnout holds for the battleground states.

Though I am uncertain how this number is arrived at. It seems vote by mail and the pandemic would make any estimates rather difficult. There's also the issue of disqualified ballots which will increase due to increased vote by mail.
Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions. – G.K. Chesterton
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Archinerd
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Predictions

Post by Archinerd »

Kraken wrote: Tue Oct 13, 2020 10:48 am In my blue bubble, all signs are pointing to a Biden landslide, assuming that all of the votes trump can't prevent being cast get counted fairly.

Trump will throw a tantrum and do all that he can to overturn the results, state by state, and he might pry one or two away from the voters...but it won't be enough.

Before he's even removed, we'll be dealing with a right-wing insurgency cheered on by trump.

If he lives a couple more years, trump will be indicted for crimes committed before and during his presidency*, but he'll never serve any time.
The Best Case scenario is still pretty fucking bleak.
:cry:
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Kraken
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Predictions

Post by Kraken »

Archinerd wrote: Wed Oct 14, 2020 12:27 am
Kraken wrote: Tue Oct 13, 2020 10:48 am In my blue bubble, all signs are pointing to a Biden landslide, assuming that all of the votes trump can't prevent being cast get counted fairly.

Trump will throw a tantrum and do all that he can to overturn the results, state by state, and he might pry one or two away from the voters...but it won't be enough.

Before he's even removed, we'll be dealing with a right-wing insurgency cheered on by trump.

If he lives a couple more years, trump will be indicted for crimes committed before and during his presidency*, but he'll never serve any time.
The Best Case scenario is still pretty fucking bleak.
:cry:
Anyone who thinks a Biden landslide will bring unicorns and lollipops needs to think harder. At most, it's a good start.
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LordMortis
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Predictions

Post by LordMortis »

Kraken wrote: Wed Oct 14, 2020 12:35 am Anyone who thinks a Biden landslide will bring unicorns and lollipops needs to think harder. At most, it's a good start.
It's not even the beginning of rehab. It's triage.
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Paingod
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Predictions

Post by Paingod »

LordMortis wrote: Wed Oct 14, 2020 7:14 am
Kraken wrote: Wed Oct 14, 2020 12:35 am Anyone who thinks a Biden landslide will bring unicorns and lollipops needs to think harder. At most, it's a good start.
It's not even the beginning of rehab. It's triage.
And before the triage started, Trump would be out in front of the White House with a flamethrower, laughing madly as he spurred on his Proud Boy and Confederate soldiers.
Black Lives Matter

2021-01-20: The first good night's sleep I had in 4 years.
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