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Unagi
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by Unagi »

What would be more meaningful, would be if one of the top defenses actually went up against one of the top offenses and we could observe the empirical evidence.

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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

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Unagi wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:01 pm What would be more meaningful, would be if one of the top defenses actually went up against one of the top offenses and we could observe the empirical evidence.

:ninja:
Like the Patriots and Bears?
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by stessier »

noxiousdog wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:11 pm
Unagi wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:01 pm What would be more meaningful, would be if one of the top defenses actually went up against one of the top offenses and we could observe the empirical evidence.

:ninja:
Like the Patriots and Bears?
Or the Rams and Bears? (which I think was the Chicagoans point...) :)
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by ImLawBoy »

noxiousdog wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:11 pm
Unagi wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:01 pm What would be more meaningful, would be if one of the top defenses actually went up against one of the top offenses and we could observe the empirical evidence.

:ninja:
Like the Patriots and Bears?
Still doesn't change the fact that a dominant defense can beat a dominant offense in today's NFL. I never claimed that a dominant defense would always beat a dominant offense.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by noxiousdog »

ImLawBoy wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:31 pm
noxiousdog wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:11 pm
Unagi wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:01 pm What would be more meaningful, would be if one of the top defenses actually went up against one of the top offenses and we could observe the empirical evidence.

:ninja:
Like the Patriots and Bears?
Still doesn't change the fact that a dominant defense can beat a dominant offense in today's NFL. I never claimed that a dominant defense would always beat a dominant offense.
In other news, water is wet.

It's still a story that dominant offenses are performing better than dominant defenses. If you want to make it into an always/never strawman, have fun.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by Jeff V »

noxiousdog wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:33 pm
It's still a story that dominant offenses are performing better than dominant defenses.
That has not been proven. If someone has time to spare (I do not) then pick out all of the match-ups between top offenses and top defenses and check the results. That may prove something, or may be inconclusive.

The only thing you might be able to say is that a dominant offense is unlikely to have a bad outcome against a bad defense. Lacking a reliable offense, top defensive teams can still be vulnerable against a mediocre to poor offense.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by ImLawBoy »

noxiousdog wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:33 pm
ImLawBoy wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:31 pm
noxiousdog wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:11 pm
Unagi wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:01 pm What would be more meaningful, would be if one of the top defenses actually went up against one of the top offenses and we could observe the empirical evidence.

:ninja:
Like the Patriots and Bears?
Still doesn't change the fact that a dominant defense can beat a dominant offense in today's NFL. I never claimed that a dominant defense would always beat a dominant offense.
In other news, water is wet.

It's still a story that dominant offenses are performing better than dominant defenses. If you want to make it into an always/never strawman, have fun.
What bullshit. There are fewer dominant defenses making your "top 10" comparison not terribly valuable, and you're trying to dismiss my argument by calling it a strawman instead of addressing it. Have fun yourself.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by Unagi »

ImLawBoy wrote: Mon Dec 10, 2018 11:25 am Someone tell me again how dominant defense can't stand up to dominant offense in modern football. I love that story.
noxiousdog wrote: Wed Dec 12, 2018 4:33 pm It's still a story that dominant offenses are performing better than dominant defenses. If you want to make it into an always/never strawman, have fun.
The Pats beat the Bears by staying nose-to-nose with the Bears offense and coming out 1 yard ahead at the end of the game. It wasn't that the Pats had no trouble with the Bears D -- in fact a lot of the stats for the Bears that game were better than the Pats stats (yrds,rushing,passing,plays,time).... they just didn't win, which is everything, of course.

The Bears beat the Rams by shutting their superior offense down with a dominant defense. 2 field goals in the first half, nothing else... where the Bears had safety points on the board.

I think a dominant defense is harder to achieve and far less common. I think that's why it seems like 'dominant offenses perform better than dominant defenses'. It's like saying males out-perform females in some male dominated field.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

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Half time adjustments baby! The Chargers play to win and clinch a playoff berth!
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

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Jaymann wrote: Fri Dec 14, 2018 1:48 am Half time adjustments baby! The Chargers play to win and clinch a playoff berth!
And sink my chances to win my FFB league (I have Mahomes, Kelce, Hill, and K Allen). I was really hoping for overtime like last week. Glad they won, though.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by LawBeefaroni »

TNF on Amazon is a revelation. Being able to select the UK audio over Buck/Aikman is so beautiful.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by Jeff V »

Bears win! Hopefully this marks the start of a dominance steak over the Packers; we were long overdue. First division title since 2010. They also ended Rodger string of passes without interception.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

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Woo Hoo! Dominance Steak!


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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

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Jeff V wrote: Sun Dec 16, 2018 5:46 pm Bears win! Hopefully this marks the start of a dominance steak over the Packers; we were long overdue. First division title since 2010. They also ended Rodger string of passes without interception.
all of a sudden you're a bears fan :P
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by LawBeefaroni »

Unagi wrote: Sun Dec 16, 2018 9:58 pm Woo Hoo! Dominance Steak!


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They were named after a canned meat packing company, after all.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

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naednek wrote: Mon Dec 17, 2018 3:11 pm
all of a sudden you're a bears fan :P
? I've never not been a Bears fan.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

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Jeff V wrote: Tue Dec 18, 2018 12:45 pm
naednek wrote: Mon Dec 17, 2018 3:11 pm
all of a sudden you're a bears fan :P
? I've never not been a Bears fan.

never a postive thinking bears fan...
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

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naednek wrote: Tue Dec 18, 2018 1:00 pm a positive thinking bears fan...
I understand each of these words, but this phrase makes no sense to me. Is this Esperanto?
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 15

Post by Jeff V »

naednek wrote: Tue Dec 18, 2018 1:00 pm
Jeff V wrote: Tue Dec 18, 2018 12:45 pm
naednek wrote: Mon Dec 17, 2018 3:11 pm
all of a sudden you're a bears fan :P
? I've never not been a Bears fan.

never a postive thinking bears fan...
Oh I was very positive in 1985 when I had season tickets. The decades since? Totally uncalled for. This year I'm actually getting excited again, and not just for potential outcome this year but for several years to come.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 16

Post by Jaymann »

You've always been the caretaker.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 16

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Re: NFL 2018 Week 16

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That early slate of games was very entertaining.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 16

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Afternoon was pretty good too.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 16

Post by Jaymann »

So the playoffs start a week early with Colts at Titans. And the Chargers really screwed the pooch by losing to the Ravens - they could have had the #1 seed. And they all but eliminated the Steelers. Wonder if Big Ben packs it in after this season.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 17

Post by Jeff V »

Nice win against what should have been a super-motivated team. 12-4 after 5-11, but had we beat Green Bay earlier this year, we'd be ahead of the Rams for first round bye. Oh well, bring on the Eaglets!
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 17

Post by Baroquen »

Wow. I really thought the Ravens were going to choke again, but managed to finally stop the Browns(!) on that final series. And honestly, even if we lose to the Chargers (at home! woo hoo!) next weekend, at least the Steelers will be watching the playoffs from home. That, and no more Flacco, makes this a great end to the season.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 17

Post by Isgrimnur »

I get to taunt my coworkers with the Eagles Christmas sweater for another week. And I will be a Seahawks fan for the week.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 16

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stessier wrote: Sun Dec 23, 2018 6:28 pm That early slate of games was very entertaining.
Except for the Saints game. Took my son to his first NFL game. Brees and Kamara on the bench, team unmotivated, at least we saw Ingram.
The only reason people get lost in thought is because it's unfamiliar territory.

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Re: NFL 2018 Week 16

Post by stessier »

Lassr wrote: Mon Dec 31, 2018 2:28 am
stessier wrote: Sun Dec 23, 2018 6:28 pm That early slate of games was very entertaining.
Except for the Saints game. Took my son to his first NFL game. Brees and Kamara on the bench, team unmotivated, at least we saw Ingram.
My statement was from 12/23.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 16

Post by Unagi »

stessier wrote: Mon Dec 31, 2018 5:27 am
Lassr wrote: Mon Dec 31, 2018 2:28 am
stessier wrote: Sun Dec 23, 2018 6:28 pm That early slate of games was very entertaining.
Except for the Saints game. Took my son to his first NFL game. Brees and Kamara on the bench, team unmotivated, at least we saw Ingram.
My statement was from 12/23.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 16

Post by Lassr »

stessier wrote: Mon Dec 31, 2018 5:27 am
Lassr wrote: Mon Dec 31, 2018 2:28 am
stessier wrote: Sun Dec 23, 2018 6:28 pm That early slate of games was very entertaining.
Except for the Saints game. Took my son to his first NFL game. Brees and Kamara on the bench, team unmotivated, at least we saw Ingram.
My statement was from 12/23.
So it was. That's what I get for checking the forum before going to bed after a 7 hour drive home. And that gives Unagi even more reason to vote for me.
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 17

Post by Isgrimnur »

Saturday:

Colts at Texans - 4:35 EST
Seahawks at Cowboys - 8:15 EST


Sunday:

Chargers at Ravens - 1:05 EST
Eagles at Bears - 4:40 EST
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Re: NFL 2018 Week 17

Post by Jaymann »

Isgrimnur wrote: Mon Dec 31, 2018 12:42 pm Saturday:

Colts at Texans - 4:35 EST
Seahawks at Cowboys - 8:15 EST


Sunday:

Chargers at Ravens - 1:05 EST
Eagles at Bears - 4:40 EST
Those are some surprisingly even match ups. I would never bet on the Eggles, but they seem to play up to their competition.
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Re: NFL 2018 Wild Card Round

Post by Jaymann »

How about some predictions for this round:

Colts at Texans - 4:35 EST Colts
Seahawks at Cowboys - 8:15 EST Seahawks

Sunday:

Chargers at Ravens - 1:05 EST Ravens
Eagles at Bears - 4:40 EST Bears

I hope the Chargers prove me wrong :horse:
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Re: NFL 2018 Wild Card Round

Post by Jeff V »

The Chargers tied with the Saints for best road record this year, 7-1. They also have the worst home record of any playoff team, 5-3. At 6-2, the Ravens are tied for second worst home record.

Seattle's road record is 4-4. Dallas is tied for the second best home record at 7-1.

The Bears have the longest current win streak in the league at 4. They are 7-1 at home, the Eagles are 4-4 on the road.

The Texans are 6-2 at home, the Colts are 4-4 on the road. This is their 3rd meeting, they are 1-1 with the road team winning each time.
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Re: NFL 2018 Wild Card Round

Post by Skinypupy »

Oh god, Allen Hurns ankle. That was horrific.
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Re: NFL 2018 Wild Card Round

Post by Isgrimnur »

I think I just saw Janikowski’s career end.
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Re: NFL 2018 Wild Card Round

Post by El Guapo »

Jaymann wrote: Wed Jan 02, 2019 4:32 pm How about some predictions for this round:

Colts at Texans - 4:35 EST Colts
Seahawks at Cowboys - 8:15 EST Seahawks

Sunday:

Chargers at Ravens - 1:05 EST Ravens
Eagles at Bears - 4:40 EST Bears

I hope the Chargers prove me wrong :horse:

PREDICTIONS:

Colts beat Texans 21-7 (I have a good feeling about this one).
Cowboys beat Seahawks
Chargers beat Ravens
Bears beat Eagles.

Also feeling like the Patriots have no real shot against the Chargers.
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Re: NFL 2018 Wild Card Round

Post by Jolor »

Saturday games are just about done so picking Sunday's:

Chargers by 10
Bears by 1
So sayeth the wise Alaundo.
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Re: NFL 2018 Wild Card Round

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El Guapo wrote: Sat Jan 05, 2019 11:00 pm Also feeling like the Patriots have no real shot against the Chargers.
Welcome to the Dark Side!

I feel our best hope against the Chargers is that they are West Coast headed East and that the forecast is for 30s and possible snow.

Against the Ravens i feel the only hope is that the Patriots run defense has been playing possum all season specifically for this game.

As such, we're doomed. :)
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