Flash poll: Mayday edition
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- Kraken
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Flash poll: Mayday edition
Thought it might be fun to run one of these every few months based on the evolving field. Independents can take either a D or an R ballot. Partisans can't cross over.
- pr0ner
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Need more data on climate change policies before making a decision.
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- ImLawBoy
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
The point of something like this is to declare who you'd vote for now, knowing that you likely have an incomplete picture of all the candidates. By the next time Kraken runs one of these you may have changed your mind based on learning more about climate change policies.
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- pr0ner
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Fair point.ImLawBoy wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2019 1:26 pm The point of something like this is to declare who you'd vote for now, knowing that you likely have an incomplete picture of all the candidates. By the next time Kraken runs one of these you may have changed your mind based on learning more about climate change policies.
I'll think about this a bit more and come back with an actual vote.
Hodor.
- El Guapo
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Quite the Warren surge here. Warrenmentum?
Anyway, I also voted for Warren. She and Biden are probably my top 2 at the moment (though that could easily change).
Anyway, I also voted for Warren. She and Biden are probably my top 2 at the moment (though that could easily change).
Black Lives Matter.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Buttigieg here - I am done with boomers. Of course until it is some boomer vs. Trump then yes it'll be a boomer but I'm holding out very slim hope against this possibility.
- $iljanus
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Early days but after some town halls I really respect Warren and think she’ll make a fine president. Sanders is just bugging me more and more. Warren is a politician who I think can govern.
Black lives matter!
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I think Beto and Buttigieg need more experience. It think Biden and Bernie have too much experience (plus Bernie is, was, and always will be unelectable). That leaves me with Warren or Harris from this pool, as I'm not voting R (obviously it would be Weld if I were).
Warren is up there in years a bit, but not to the level of Biden and Bernie so it's not disqualifying. She has also really developed a lot of strong policy positions, and even if I don't agree with all of them, it shows a strong level of preparedness.
I have some concerns about Harris's record as a prosecutor, although I admit I haven't fully looked into them yet. She did a great job in recent congressional hearings with her questioning, but that's to be expected from a former prosecutor.
I'm hardly super enthusiastic about it, but I grudgingly voted Warren.
Warren is up there in years a bit, but not to the level of Biden and Bernie so it's not disqualifying. She has also really developed a lot of strong policy positions, and even if I don't agree with all of them, it shows a strong level of preparedness.
I have some concerns about Harris's record as a prosecutor, although I admit I haven't fully looked into them yet. She did a great job in recent congressional hearings with her questioning, but that's to be expected from a former prosecutor.
I'm hardly super enthusiastic about it, but I grudgingly voted Warren.
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- Jaymann
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I am also sick of boomers. So I went with Harris since it is too soon for AOC.
Jaymann
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- Smoove_B
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I like Kamala Harris, mainly because of how she presented herself during the hearings; I like her demeanor and she comes off as being whip-smart. I've caught a few of her interviews and she doesn't sound/act like an old-stuff politician. She seemed warm and affable to me. I see Biden, Bernie and Warren as part of the old-guard. I'm still astounded someone in Trump's demographic was elected and I've even more astounded that others in that same demographic are being considered for 2020. Pain.
EDIT: I guess I do kinda like Warren, but I'm not sold
EDIT: I guess I do kinda like Warren, but I'm not sold
Maybe next year, maybe no go
- Alefroth
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
It was quite a toss-up for me between Warren and Harris but i went with Warren for now since I know more about her policies. Harris does get ranked as one of the most progressive Senators based on voting record though.Smoove_B wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2019 3:25 pm I like Kamala Harris, mainly because of how she presented herself during the hearings; I like her demeanor and she comes off as being whip-smart. I've caught a few of her interviews and she doesn't sound/act like an old-stuff politician. She seemed warm and affable to me. I see Biden, Bernie and Warren as part of the old-guard. I'm still astounded someone in Trump's demographic was elected and I've even more astounded that others in that same demographic are being considered for 2020. Pain.
EDIT: I guess I do kinda like Warren, but I'm not sold
- Defiant
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Of my three top tier picks, only one is on the list, so it's an easy choice.
Last edited by Defiant on Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
- Kraken
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I've been on Team Warren since the start, so I'm tickled to see her doing well with the rest of this room. Biden is also my #2 -- not because I like his positions, or even his record, but because he might be the strongest vs Trump. Warren tears into Trrump at every opportunity, but it's Biden who really gets under his thin, orange skin.
It will be interesting to watch conventional wisdom change over time. I'm thinking the next flash poll should be around July 4th unless something seismic happens before then.
- $iljanus
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Harris would have been my next choice. I'd love to see her square off with Trump in a debate.Alefroth wrote:It was quite a toss-up for me between Warren and Harris but i went with Warren for now since I know more about her policies. Harris does get ranked as one of the most progressive Senators based on voting record though.Smoove_B wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2019 3:25 pm I like Kamala Harris, mainly because of how she presented herself during the hearings; I like her demeanor and she comes off as being whip-smart. I've caught a few of her interviews and she doesn't sound/act like an old-stuff politician. She seemed warm and affable to me. I see Biden, Bernie and Warren as part of the old-guard. I'm still astounded someone in Trump's demographic was elected and I've even more astounded that others in that same demographic are being considered for 2020. Pain.
EDIT: I guess I do kinda like Warren, but I'm not sold
Black lives matter!
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- Defiant
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
But can we put their names in our own primary, as write-in votes?
If so, I need to start researching Weld.
- Kraken
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Use whatever rules your state enforces.
Bill Weld was a popular governor in his day -- a fiscally conservative, socially moderate, small-L libertarian Republican who worked well with Democrats. He approached governing more as a hobby than a crusade, which made him affable and reasonable.
- LawBeefaroni
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
You are dancing around the May poll!
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MYT
"No scientific discovery is named after its original discoverer." -Stigler's Law of Eponymy, discovered by Robert K. Merton
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- Holman
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
The Dem ticket is 98% certain to include a woman, and that will probably be Harris or Warren. I'm looking forward to seeing both of them establish themselves on the national stage even if they're never the front-runner.
I voted for Harris in this poll, but I'm not 100% anything yet. Like others have said, I'd love to see her debate Trump. She's tough and smart and has no illusions about D.C. today.
I voted for Harris in this poll, but I'm not 100% anything yet. Like others have said, I'd love to see her debate Trump. She's tough and smart and has no illusions about D.C. today.
Much prefer my Nazis Nuremberged.
- LawBeefaroni
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
A rock could debate Trump. This isn't about being better. It is merely about getting elected. Let's not forget that.
" Hey OP, listen to my advice alright." -Tha General
"No scientific discovery is named after its original discoverer." -Stigler's Law of Eponymy, discovered by Robert K. Merton
MYT
"No scientific discovery is named after its original discoverer." -Stigler's Law of Eponymy, discovered by Robert K. Merton
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- Defiant
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I, for one, would love to see Buttigieg debate Pence, although I still want him in the top spot.
- Defiant
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
*Looks at how Republicans did in the 2016 Republican primary*. I mean, I can see the argument that they were worse than rocks, but still...
- Holman
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I know, I know. But part of out-debating Trump is looking better than him and firing up voters to support you. I think Harris could wipe the floor with him and do it with none of HRC's baggage.LawBeefaroni wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2019 5:10 pmA rock could debate Trump. This isn't about being better. It is merely about getting elected. Let's not forget that.
The most electable choice is obviously Biden, and I'm prepared to put my misgivings about him aside and get on board if that's where we're going.
--
Interesting point:
In recent CNN polling, climate change has moved to the *top* of potential Dem voters' concerns. It'll be interesting to see what the potential nominees make of that.
Much prefer my Nazis Nuremberged.
- Jaymann
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Oh, you mean the Chinese hoax?
Jaymann
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- rittchard
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I am 100% Mayor Pete. If you haven't heard him speak yet I'd invite you to listen to any of his one bazillion interviews on whatever your favorite talk show is, because he's literally been on pretty much every one lol. Every time I hear him speak, although some of it is repetitive stump stuff, he impresses me more and more. So intelligent without being condescending, so sincere without coming across as being weak. And I love the irony that he can attack Trump with his midwestern, military and Christian background; Republicans are already having trouble finding ways to counter him effectively.
- Kurth
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
For all my grousing about the need for new blood . . . I went Biden.
I'd still like Mayor Pete to convince me. But I'm not there yet.
I'd still like Mayor Pete to convince me. But I'm not there yet.
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- Holman
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I like Pete a lot, but his Midwestern all-Americanness veers WAY too much towards "why can't we all get along?" and not enough towards the fucking Red Alert we're actually facing.rittchard wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2019 7:27 pm I am 100% Mayor Pete. If you haven't heard him speak yet I'd invite you to listen to any of his one bazillion interviews on whatever your favorite talk show is, because he's literally been on pretty much every one lol. Every time I hear him speak, although some of it is repetitive stump stuff, he impresses me more and more. So intelligent without being condescending, so sincere without coming across as being weak. And I love the irony that he can attack Trump with his midwestern, military and Christian background; Republicans are already having trouble finding ways to counter him effectively.
If that's what we want, let's just go with Biden, who does it way better and has tons of mileage to prove it.
Biden could appoint Pete as U.N. ambassador. He wouldn't need a translator half the time. He could do President eight years from now and still be the young one in the race.
Much prefer my Nazis Nuremberged.
- Kraken
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
They actually say we have 11 years, and we are still going in the wrong direction.David Bowie wrote: Pushing through the market square,
So many mothers sighing.
News had just come over,
We had five years left to cry in.
News guy wept and told us,
Earth was really dying.
Cried so much his face was wet,
Then I knew he was not lying.
- YellowKing
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I've been gravitating towards Biden after the surge in polls. Not necessarily because I like to back a winner, but because that surprise momentum currently has me believing he has the best shot at toppling Trump. I underestimated the Joe love, and he certainly has the experience that Mayor Pete and Beto lack.
I like Warren but her ship has sailed. As much as I'd like to see a woman in office, I don't know if this is the right year for it. It may turn out that the only way to fight an angry old white guy is with another angry old white guy.
I like Warren but her ship has sailed. As much as I'd like to see a woman in office, I don't know if this is the right year for it. It may turn out that the only way to fight an angry old white guy is with another angry old white guy.
- em2nought
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I went with Harris based on a handful of interviews I've heard, although I'm not 100% sold on any one candidate. And the only two I'm against are Biden and Sanders. Not that I don't like them, I just want new blood in there.
- naednek
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Suprised Warren is leading the charge. I agree with some of her beliefs, but feel she's too far left.
hepcat - "I agree with Naednek"
- Remus West
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
As opposed to your choices "German" ancestory?
“As democracy is perfected, the office of president represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people. On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron.” - H.L. Mencken
- TheMix
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I'm more disappointed that he felt that he needed to bring kindergarten name calling into ... well, into OO at all. Anyone else picture em actually rolling around on the floor like a child, laughing at his "cleverness"?
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- ImLawBoy
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
To be fair, there is plenty of name calling done of Trump and the right around these parts.
That said, that contribution of his is about the level I expect from him.
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- El Guapo
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
At first I thought that he had just heard the term Fauxcahauntas for the first time, which surprised me.
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I agree, I think this is more about name recognition and getting bumped up to a more prominent position. I selected him today because of all the candidates, he seems to have the least amount of baggage and we all know how the elephants love plundering baggage. After 2016, I was firmly in Warren's camp until she created a distraction of her own making. It makes me wonder what other ill-advised comments or mistakes she might make leading into an election.Holman wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2019 7:36 pmI like Pete a lot, but his Midwestern all-Americanness veers WAY too much towards "why can't we all get along?" and not enough towards the fucking Red Alert we're actually facing.rittchard wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2019 7:27 pm I am 100% Mayor Pete. If you haven't heard him speak yet I'd invite you to listen to any of his one bazillion interviews on whatever your favorite talk show is, because he's literally been on pretty much every one lol. Every time I hear him speak, although some of it is repetitive stump stuff, he impresses me more and more. So intelligent without being condescending, so sincere without coming across as being weak. And I love the irony that he can attack Trump with his midwestern, military and Christian background; Republicans are already having trouble finding ways to counter him effectively.
If that's what we want, let's just go with Biden, who does it way better and has tons of mileage to prove it.
Biden could appoint Pete as U.N. ambassador. He wouldn't need a translator half the time. He could do President eight years from now and still be the young one in the race.
I do see a switch to Harris in the future, however, if she can show some momentum. I have no particular use for the two fossils currently at the top of the national polls.
Black Lives Matter
- Defiant
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Given his age, I would really, *really* hope that Biden wouldn't run for a second term (though I can understand why he wouldn't want to announce that before the 2024 cycle).
- Jaymann
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
Some prosecutor experience comes in handy when questioning Barr and his ilk. I hope Harris gains some national exposure from this.
Jaymann
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- Alefroth
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I hope Barr gains some national exposure from it.
- em2nought
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Re: Flash poll: Mayday edition
I would, but it's too hard to get back up with this large belly of mine.
two months