Scottish Independence?
Posted: Tue Jan 16, 2007 3:54 pm
Ah, democracy at work. I imagine if Scotland get's independence, Northern Ireland will want the same.
That is not dead which can eternal lie, and with strange aeons bring us some web forums whereupon we can gather
http://www.octopusoverlords.com/forum/
Isn't that the point?pr0ner wrote:I think this will be moved to R&P in short order.
And then Dirt will explode again.
He begs for what he deserves.Blackhawk wrote:Isn't that the point?pr0ner wrote:I think this will be moved to R&P in short order.
And then Dirt will explode again.
Yes, because we know how British you are. You and CSL, both. Terribly British.Yankeeman84 wrote:If I have to fight to keep Scotland part of the United Kingdom, I will.
Rule Britannia!
You may take their lives, YM, but you'll never take their freedom.Yankeeman84 wrote:If I have to fight to keep Scotland part of the United Kingdom, I will.
Rule Britannia!
Watch me motherfucker!!!!!!!!El Guapo wrote:You may take their lives, YM, but you'll never take their freedom.Yankeeman84 wrote:If I have to fight to keep Scotland part of the United Kingdom, I will.
Rule Britannia!
Yes, and Dirt knows it too.ImLawBoy wrote:Moving to R&P, as this one falls on the P side of things, methinks.
No, Northern Ireland will never ask for this as the UK is their only protection from being swallowed up by the Irish Republic. The majority are staunch "Unionists".Dirt wrote:Ah, democracy at work. I imagine if Scotland get's independence, Northern Ireland will want the same.
I wouldn't say never. It's only something like 56/42 now and the greatest disparity is in the upper age brackets (the under 25 bracket is actually equally Protestant and Catholic). Furthermore, Catholics have higher birth rates. It will be interesting to see how this plays out, that much is true.Grifman wrote:No, Northern Ireland will never ask for this as the UK is their only protection from being swallowed up by the Irish Republic. The majority are staunch "Unionists".Dirt wrote:Ah, democracy at work. I imagine if Scotland get's independence, Northern Ireland will want the same.
A deal setting out terms for a Scottish independence referendum has been signed by Prime Minister David Cameron and First Minister Alex Salmond.
The agreement, struck in Edinburgh, has paved the way for a vote in autumn 2014, with a single Yes/No question on Scotland leaving the UK.
It will also allow 16 and 17-year-olds to take part in the ballot.
In a straight line?Isgrimnur wrote:Can you even walk 500 miles in Scotland?
According to ScotCen Social Research, an independent research institute in Edinburgh, the average of the most recent polls show about 42 percent voting yes to 48 percent no. Nearly 11 percent say they are undecided. A simple majority is needed for the referendum to pass.
On September 2, YouGov conducted a poll for the Sun newspaper that found the yes voters just 6 points behind the union supporters. That’s down from a 14-point split in late-August. The consensus is that the yes campaign is gaining votes, but not necessarily enough to win the election.
I think there's a more practical reason you don't hear much from the Tory side -- there are no prominent Scottish Conservatives whose voices would have any influence on the vote.Holman wrote:There's an interesting electoral dimension of this for Great Britain. Most Scots vote Labour, and pulling them out of the vote will make the surviving UK more Conservative.
I imagine this is why we don't see the Tories making more noise on this issue.
Why do you think so? I'm hoping they vote "no" as well, mostly for sentimental reasons, but I don't have much of a handle on the practical impacts of independence for Scotland and the rest of the UK.Fireball wrote:Independence would be so bad for everyone involved. I really hope Scotland votes "no".
I never got beyond the fact that economically, an independent Scotland would collapse. I mean start with the currency. Is there any reason to go further?El Guapo wrote:Why do you think so? I'm hoping they vote "no" as well, mostly for sentimental reasons, but I don't have much of a handle on the practical impacts of independence for Scotland and the rest of the UK.Fireball wrote:Independence would be so bad for everyone involved. I really hope Scotland votes "no".
The "yes" people are assuming a lot of things, many of which I think are unfounded. They're presuming they can keep the Pound Sterling as their currency. They're presuming that the jilted UK would help the new Scotland become members of the EU. They're assuming that the way-left-of-center Scottish polity would actually favor the environmentally dangerous oil extraction efforts that would be needed to truly monetize the reserves off their northern shore. All three of these things have to go favorably for a newly-independent Scotland, or it will collapse economically. I think it's unlikely that they go 3 for 3 on these.El Guapo wrote:Why do you think so? I'm hoping they vote "no" as well, mostly for sentimental reasons, but I don't have much of a handle on the practical impacts of independence for Scotland and the rest of the UK.Fireball wrote:Independence would be so bad for everyone involved. I really hope Scotland votes "no".
Scotland has financials worse than Greece. Why would the EU take them? And even if they did, why would they do it within the next 5 years? The ECB is very risk-averse right now.El Guapo wrote:Ok, yeah, sounds like a bad idea.
My assumption was that if Scotland went independent it would join the EU and adopt the Euro. Can the UK block independent Scotland from joining the EU? Though in any event an independent Scotland that adopts the Euro would have less control over its currency than it does now, since the EU is a much bigger pond than the UK so its EU representatives would have even less clout.
I think the louder objections would come from Spain, which has its own regions with dreams of independence. Precedent and whatnot.El Guapo wrote:Can the UK block independent Scotland from joining the EU?
Oof. Yeah, the quotes from the EU in that article are not promising, and AWS also raises a good point re: Spain. It seems inevitable that the EU would admit an independent Scotland *eventually* (assuming the EU survives, which is very probable but not totally certain). But it seems pretty likely that they wouldn't admit Scotland very quickly (probably not within five years), and that transition period could be pretty rough for Scotland.LawBeefaroni wrote:Scotland has financials worse than Greece. Why would the EU take them? And even if they did, why would they do it within the next 5 years? The ECB is very risk-averse right now.El Guapo wrote:Ok, yeah, sounds like a bad idea.
My assumption was that if Scotland went independent it would join the EU and adopt the Euro. Can the UK block independent Scotland from joining the EU? Though in any event an independent Scotland that adopts the Euro would have less control over its currency than it does now, since the EU is a much bigger pond than the UK so its EU representatives would have even less clout.
My first thought was about the Basques. I wasn't aware of the Catalonia issues.AWS260 wrote:I think the louder objections would come from Spain, which has its own regions with dreams of independence. Precedent and whatnot.El Guapo wrote:Can the UK block independent Scotland from joining the EU?
Yea, that sounds more accurate.Isgrimnur wrote:No, it's their Canada.