Kasey Chang wrote: ↑Mon May 17, 2021 1:41 am
I think it was a couple months back that I "predicted" that the Republican party will go through what KMT did in Taiwan... a splinter party will form, the main party will reform, and they have a merger, years down the road when they realized they are both weaker for the split.
There is precedent of integrity leading to certain defeat. In 1986 Adlai Stevenson III ran for governor against Jim Thompson, a popular incumbent. Stevenson won the Democrat primary, but his choice for Lt. Governor and Secretary of State did not -- instead, disciples of Lyndon LaRouche won those nominations. Splitting from the Democratic party was sure death for Stevenson at the polls, but he did just that, forming an alternate party that lost by 400,000 votes. With the LaRouchies on the ballot, the Democrats nearly lost their standing as a major party with 5% of the vote. I did not vote for Stevenson -- Thompson was a very popular governor and IIRC ruled for 4 terms.
It would take until the George Ryan scandal before the Dems got back in control (and they did it with Blago and we all know how that turned out). The point is the party did come back from a near-death experience. And the party is improving, I think, party strongman and the picture shown under the dictionary definition of corruption, Mike Madigan, was deposed, hopefully dispelling the notion that current gov JB Pritzker was his cabana boy (I've never thought this to be the case, although he might have benefitted from a good working relationship with Madigan).
The biggest danger is a failed Biden administration. Biden either needs to make it 2 terms, and/or pass the torch to Harris and she carry on another 2 terms. That might be enough time to purge the Trumptards, and for something bad enough to happen that the elephants can ride a mandate for change. However, the biggest challenge for the splitters is to get themselves re-elected, if they can't win under the AFT Party banner, the rebellion might be short-lived. With the polarity in politics these days, even the more astute elephants might have trouble they are voting in the interest of their constituents going with Democratic policies, even if they are doing just that.