noxiousdog wrote:El Guapo wrote: ↑Tue Feb 16, 2021 10:53 pm
I think Biden will be a narrow favorite in 2024 regardless given the advantages of incumbency and given that the GOP brand will probably still be suspect to Democrats and Independents in 2024, but given the EC Biden would probably have something like a 55% - 65%ish chance to win.
I was under the impression Biden was planning on being a one term president.
I need to look into that further. I hope that’s true, personally.
He’s said multiple times he only ran bc Trump’s response to Charlottesville was so bad, that it pissed him off and made him want to kick his ass out. He explicitly denied requests to run in 2016 due to his son's recent death.
I think the right wing media (smartly) converted this into “Biden doesn’t really want to be President!” for their lemming followers, bc I heard a variation on that theme more than a couple of times from relatives.
And again, that’s probably not far from the truth (though the intent/spin changes it into something base and low of course, as if he’s lazy or doesn’t care or some bs).
He’s just so damn old and feeble SOUNDING. Even if his mind is still sharp as a tack (I have no idea), it’s not a great look for a political party literally trying to stave off a destructive, ravenous mob driven by a dynamic, loud charismatic wannabe dictator.
For the thinking man, it does present a choice between normalcy and chaos (which is probably what ultimately led to Biden’s W), but for 2024 we need a young, charismatic, vibrant fighter. Harris would be great.
In fact, there were some really great choices in the D primary this time. Harris, maybe Booker, maybe Buttigieg. Klobuchar is great. Add in a couple of Eric Swallwell types.
I’m reading a book right now centered around the 1920’s in American history. Remember the very odd phrase by Coolidge before his first term was up: “I do not choose to run” which apparently freaked everybody out (bc they had no idea what he meant, and he refused to elaborate
)
Interestingly, Coolidge has something in common with Biden - both lost kids way too soon, while in office, which was attributed to their desires not to continue in politics.